Wednesday, February 8th, 2012

Updated Watchlist for August 25

2

Pair Daily 4h 1h
CADJPY Reversal to the long confirmed.  Could be headed for a 3rd higher high. Range seems to be 87.80 to 86.35…look for a bounce or a break to confirm long position. Price has retraced to the TL.  Long above 87.42 to 87.90
EURJPY Making a bounce and attempt at the 800sma? Broke out of consolidation area, look for retest and then bounce?  Or close back below 134.00 could be move back to the 800sma or about 133.25 Retraced to its former consolidation as well.  Has already closed above 135.50, retraced and printing a confirmation candle right now.
EURUSD Broke important level at 1.4300 again.  Going for a higher high and final move away from 800sma?  1.49 by Christmas? Retest has already happened, could be ready for further climb. Retraced to old consolidation level and is bouncing cleanly.  May stay stuck in its range for a bit though so I’ll wait for a close above 1.4345.
GBPCHF Double top is right at the neckline, bounce or break is imminent. Is it trying to get to the 800sma before making up its mind? Divergent on 4h and 1h, but that 800 may be a strong enough magnet it doesn’t matter.
GBPJPY Double top really stopped short and consolidated.  Could mean it’s time for a new higher high. Tightening up between 156.74 and 154.  Triangle is normally continuation pattern on this timeframe. Consolidating around the 800 again…could be an explosive breakout!
GBPUSD Lots of indecision, could make one more dip to 1.6325 area before it resumes long but I’m bullish overall. Ascending triangle and tightening up on macd confirms long bias Southward breakout doesn’t seem to be holding.
NZDUSD Consolidating just below the 800sma and has almost touched the TL.  Getting ready for a fresh breakout, but may need retracement from Friday’s news-driven price action. Gaining more confidence near the highs it made last week. May not require retracement based on Aug 13 resistance, but still possible.  Watch the range between 0.6800 and 0.6870.  Another higher low…this thing ready for another climb?
USDCAD Bouncing away from 1.1020 with conviction, could be headed to the bottom of its channel (1.0300ish) Price rejected the secondary low at 1.0810, watch for bounce or break at this level. Trend side looks tired.
USDCHF Significant support at 1.0577. Divergence could mean a bounce, setting up a long. Odd divergence confirms a long bias on this with the area of indecision 1.0620 to 1.0577
USDJPY Yuck Strong usd strength defines the “aoi” between 94.42 and 93.50 Time to wrap around the 800sma.

Here’s the file

Comments

2 Responses to “Updated Watchlist for August 25”
  1. JerryN says:

    Anyone shorting GBPJPY?

    jerry

  2. Triffany says:

    I’m waiting for the close of the hour, but I’m watching it for sure!! I missed the gbp/usd, did you take that one?

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