Saturday, February 4th, 2012

Watchlist for Sunday, January 24, 2010

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We had some really impulsive moves today that kind of shook up price across the board.  When reviewing this watchlist, keep in mind that what you’re seeing is risk aversion and there isn’t anyway to know for sure if that will continue or correct.

From a purely technical standpoint, the levels I talk about here will remain legitimate until they get touched again…but if risk aversion stays at the forefront that may not be for a long time.  So DO NOT discount the momentum side of the trade – there could be a lot of opportunity there on Sunday and Monday. 

Pair Daily 4h 1h
CADJPY Price has come aaallll the way back to the Daily TL, which is also the middle of the daily range it was in before. Marking new territory around the 800sma? Broke away from the 800sma and is immediately divergent.  86.65 is uncorrected territory.
EURJPY Sitting right on top of significant support at 126.90 Hit the 200% extension of the 800 area of consolidation and didn’t consolidate at that level…movement feels impulsive 131.40 is completely uncorrected. 
EURUSD Trying to correct to 1.4265 to start an 800sma consolidation? Movement is too sideways for my tastes Doesn’t look like buying sentiment was able to hold.
GBPCHF Clean bounce off of resistance. Weird h/s off of the 800sma without correction First attempt toward the 800sma over and time for a pullback?  1.68 – 1.6750
GBPJPY Major break of the area of indecision, but no retest   Severely divergent
GBPUSD Bounced off of the daily TL and is headed back toward major support levels. Breakouts have retested and 1.6 seems likely 1.6137 – 1.6080
NZDUSD On its way to the 800sma? Consolidating around the 800sma .7155 – .7095
USDCAD Clean bounce off of support, but recent moves are atypical for u/cad Double bottom played out nicely, divergent and showing indecision.  1.0365 was never retested Move outside of the 800sma consolidation feels impulsive. 
USDCHF Struggling near recent highs, on its way back to 800sma? back at the 800sma Ick…everything looks choppy and undecided
USDJPY Closed back below the h/s neckline, could mean further lows Tried to leave 800consolidation and stalled 91 never got retouched.  90.40 – 89.80

Download it here if you like. 

Have a great weekend and be good to you!
Triffany

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