Saturday, February 4th, 2012

Watchlist Webinar for Sunday, February 19, 2010

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Pair Daily 4h 1h
CADJPY Bull after bull after bull.  Finally headed back to the 800sma?  But it looks like a pull back is imminent. 84.10 and 86 un retested, Really steep TL, with MACD tapering off. 800 sma consolidation hit the first 100% extension level.   Close below 87.85 might be a good entry point for the retracement.
EURJPY Closed above the TL and slightly above the  horizontal s/r line as well, but it feels like end of week profit taking and not a trigger. More likely to take the little double top during this pull back than I am to get excited about the long. Double top could reach to the extremes of the last area of indecision at 121.50 ish.  I wouldn’t mind taking a close below 124.50 to 12.65 and then a close below the neckline as a separate trade.
EURUSD The technicals are actually looking bullish here, but I don’t buy it. Looks more like end of week profit taking on this timeframe. Large area of indecision 1.3635 – 1.3443.  Close below 1.3585 would be a good short entry, though.
GBPCHF Starting to triangulate again? Hit secondary low without end of day reversal.  Could mean the reversal is next, to the long side.  Watching for a bounce. 1.6890, 1.68, 1.6685 all un retested (what a weird phrasing).
GBPJPY Looks like it’s trying to bounce off of the downward TL. Looks like it will either triangulate between 143.90 & 141.40 or trigger the short w/ a close below 141.40 Losing momentum in the highs. 
GBPUSD Making a bid for the 1.5260 mark? Slight pullback, but looks like eow profit taking 1.5560 not retested, may make a quick spike up before triggering another selloff.
NZDUSD Wrapping around the 800sma. I think this could continue selling…it seems to pause between .6990 & .6920ish I’m looking for a bounce off of .6990
USDCAD SO range-bound still. Hasn’t hit either of the 200% extension levels (800sma or retest consolidations) as a PT. Wider swings may indicate a building of momentum.  Bias to the CAD side right now.
USDCHF Nice, steady push/pull up to the 800sma Friday profit taking has made the support retest .  I’d prefer a bounce to the long side. 1.0815 not retested.
USDJPY Left its downward channel without retesting. 90.45, maybe even 89.80 could get touched on the correction. If this has chosen the upside a bounce off of 91.30 could mean a long position is in order.

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Have a great weekend and I’ll see you on Monday at 8am EST. 

Be good to you!
Triffany

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